Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves | October 1, 2026

Final October 1, 2026 • Truist Park, Atlanta

Philadelphia Phillies

88-74

👑 Atlanta Braves

94-68

MLB PREVIEW • October 1, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (88-74) travels to play Atlanta Braves (94-68) at Truist Park, Atlanta.

Philadelphia Phillies

Visiting Side

Record 88-74

Atlanta Braves

Home Side

Record 94-68

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	6	0
ATL	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	~	6	6	0

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

Philadelphia Phillies

👑

97%

Atlanta Braves

Projected Score PHI 2.7 - ATL 5

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Atlanta Braves has a stronger overall season performance.
Atlanta Braves has a stronger home record.
Atlanta Braves boasts a more productive batting lineup.

Philadelphia Phillies

STAT

Atlanta Braves

54.3% Win % 58.0%

88-74 Overall Record 94-68

43-38 Home Record 52-29

45-36 Away Record 42-39

3.00 Runs / G 4.67

.231 Team BA .232

.665 Team OPS .750

4.85 Team ERA 2.89

1.31 WHIP 1.00

104 AB (At Bats) 95

9 R (Runs) 14

24 H (Hits) 22

4 2B (Doubles) 3

2 3B (Triples) 1

3 HR (Home Runs) 4

9 RBI (Runs Batted In) 14

41 TB (Total Bases) 39

4 BB (Walks) 12

25 SO (Strikeouts) 24

0 SB (Stolen Bases) 2

.231 AVG .232

.270 OBP .339

.394 SLG .411

.665 OPS .750

10.3 RC (Runs Created) 13.9

.036 BB/PA .105

0.16 BB/K 0.50

3.64 P/PA 3.68

9 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 8

111 PA (Plate Appearances) 114

34.7 AB/HR 23.8

4.85 ERA 2.89

1.31 WHIP 1.00

26.0 IP (Innings) 28.0

22 H (Hits Allowed) 24

14 ER (Earned Runs) 9

4 HR (HR Allowed) 3

12 BB (Walks Allowed) 4

24 K (Strikeouts) 25

8.3 K/9 (K Per 9) 8.0

1 W (Wins) 2

2 L (Losses) 1

0 SV (Saves) 1

1.000 FP (Fielding %) 1.000

0 E (Errors) 0

6 DP (Double Plays) 6

104 TC (Total Chances) 115

78 PO (Putouts) 84

26 A (Assists) 31

4.0 RF (Range Factor) 4.1

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Atlanta Braves plays on familiar turf at Truist Park, Atlanta.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Philadelphia Phillies Could Win

Philadelphia Phillies brings a Team ERA of 4.85 and Batting Average of .231 into the matchup.

Why Atlanta Braves Could Win

Atlanta Braves counters with a Team ERA of 2.89 and Batting Average of .232.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Atlanta Braves's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Truist Park, Atlanta

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

41,731

Closing Odds

Line: ATL -114 | O/U: 7.5

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Aaron Nola

Home Starter

Ray Kerr

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Philadelphia Phillies (49.4%) Atlanta Braves (50.6%)

Total Submissions: 73 circles

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