Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays | May 16, 2026

FINAL May 16, 2026 • MLB Ballpark

Miami Marlins 👑

Tampa Bay Rays

MLB PREVIEW • May 16, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Miami Marlins travels to play Tampa Bay Rays at MLB Ballpark.

Miami Marlins

Visiting Side

Tampa Bay Rays

Home Side

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

Miami Marlins

100%

Tampa Bay Rays

Projected Score MIA 3.9 - TAM 4.6

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Tampa Bay Rays has a stronger overall season performance.
Tampa Bay Rays has a stronger home record.
Tampa Bay Rays boasts a more productive batting lineup.

Miami Marlins

STAT

Tampa Bay Rays

50.7% Win % 59.4%

68-66 Overall Record 79-54

42-27 Home Record 43-23

26-39 Away Record 36-31

4.34 Runs / G 4.47

.249 Team BA .260

.726 Team OPS .731

3.88 Team ERA 3.78

1.25 WHIP 1.15

4451 AB (At Bats) 4461

582 R (Runs) 595

1109 H (Hits) 1159

210 2B (Doubles) 188

28 3B (Triples) 20

134 HR (Home Runs) 136

556 RBI (Runs Batted In) 566

1777 TB (Total Bases) 1795

459 BB (Walks) 429

1094 SO (Strikeouts) 930

140 SB (Stolen Bases) 128

.249 AVG .260

.326 OBP .329

.399 SLG .402

.726 OPS .731

603.6 RC (Runs Created) 599.0

.091 BB/PA .086

0.42 BB/K 0.46

3.82 P/PA 3.78

372 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 344

5045 PA (Plate Appearances) 5016

33.2 AB/HR 32.8

3.88 ERA 3.78

1.25 WHIP 1.15

1177.0 IP (Innings) 1186.0

1018 H (Hits Allowed) 1031

507 ER (Earned Runs) 498

132 HR (HR Allowed) 168

448 BB (Walks Allowed) 330

1095 K (Strikeouts) 1086

8.4 K/9 (K Per 9) 8.2

68 W (Wins) 79

66 L (Losses) 54

30 SV (Saves) 53

0.982 FP (Fielding %) 0.983

84 E (Errors) 79

210 DP (Double Plays) 188

4739 TC (Total Chances) 4681

3531 PO (Putouts) 3558

1124 A (Assists) 1044

35.6 RF (Range Factor) 34.9

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Tampa Bay Rays plays on familiar turf at MLB Ballpark.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Miami Marlins Could Win

Miami Marlins brings a Team ERA of 3.88 and Batting Average of .249 into the matchup.

Why Tampa Bay Rays Could Win

Tampa Bay Rays counters with a Team ERA of 3.78 and Batting Average of .260.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Tampa Bay Rays's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

MLB Ballpark

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

N/A

Closing Odds

Line: NL | O/U: TBD

Pitching & Leaders

🤷

Roster Information Unavailable

Player leaders will be available shortly.

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Miami Marlins (50.5%) Tampa Bay Rays (49.5%)

Total Submissions: 0 circles

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