Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians | October 16, 2026

Scheduled October 16, 2026 • Progressive Field, Cleveland

Tampa Bay Rays

98-64

Cleveland Guardians

85-77

MLB PREVIEW • October 16, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) travels to play Cleveland Guardians (85-77) at Progressive Field, Cleveland.

Tampa Bay Rays

Visiting Side

Record 98-64

Cleveland Guardians

Home Side

Record 85-77

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

50%

Tampa Bay Rays

50%

Cleveland Guardians

Projected Score TAM 2.9 - CLE 3.5

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Tampa Bay Rays has a better road record than Cleveland Guardians's home record.
Cleveland Guardians boasts a more productive batting lineup.
Tampa Bay Rays is more reliable defensively.

Tampa Bay Rays

STAT

Cleveland Guardians

60.5% Win % 52.5%

98-64 Overall Record 85-77

55-26 Home Record 41-40

43-38 Away Record 44-37

3.00 Runs / G 4.25

.197 Team BA .230

.563 Team OPS .685

2.72 Team ERA 2.54

0.96 WHIP 1.01

188 AB (At Bats) 261

18 R (Runs) 34

37 H (Hits) 60

8 2B (Doubles) 11

1 3B (Triples) 3

4 HR (Home Runs) 6

16 RBI (Runs Batted In) 33

59 TB (Total Bases) 95

10 BB (Walks) 33

45 SO (Strikeouts) 64

5 SB (Stolen Bases) 6

.197 AVG .230

.249 OBP .321

.314 SLG .364

.563 OPS .685

14.4 RC (Runs Created) 31.2

.049 BB/PA .111

0.22 BB/K 0.52

3.67 P/PA 3.86

13 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 20

203 PA (Plate Appearances) 297

47.0 AB/HR 43.5

2.72 ERA 2.54

0.96 WHIP 1.01

53.0 IP (Innings) 71.0

38 H (Hits Allowed) 46

16 ER (Earned Runs) 20

5 HR (HR Allowed) 3

13 BB (Walks Allowed) 26

58 K (Strikeouts) 102

9.8 K/9 (K Per 9) 12.9

4 W (Wins) 5

2 L (Losses) 3

4 SV (Saves) 2

0.995 FP (Fielding %) 0.992

1 E (Errors) 2

2 DP (Double Plays) 20

198 TC (Total Chances) 262

159 PO (Putouts) 213

38 A (Assists) 47

3.7 RF (Range Factor) 3.7

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Cleveland Guardians plays on familiar turf at Progressive Field, Cleveland.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Tampa Bay Rays Could Win

Tampa Bay Rays brings a Team ERA of 2.72 and Batting Average of .197 into the matchup.

Why Cleveland Guardians Could Win

Cleveland Guardians counters with a Team ERA of 2.54 and Batting Average of .230.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Cleveland Guardians's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Progressive Field, Cleveland

Dome/Indoor • 54°F

Attendance

N/A

Closing Odds

Line: TB -112 | O/U: 6.5

Pitching & Leaders

Team Batting Average

Team Home Runs

Team Batting Average

Team Home Runs

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Live Poll

Tampa Bay Rays (50.0%) Cleveland Guardians (50.0%)

Total Submissions: 59 circles

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